Match Info

Date: 4 January 2021, Monday


	Adana Demirspor		Menemenspor

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	6	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6
	1.37	4.35	6
	1.44	4.3	5.4
	1.47	4.55	6.73
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.44	4.55	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	4.29 ↓ (4.36)	6.08 ↓ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adana Demirspor
63.6%

Draw
21.3%

Menemenspor
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

21.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.7%

17.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Menemenspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adana Demirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Adana Demirspor - Menemenspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Menemen will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adana Demirspor: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to 1. Lig (Play Offs) and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Menemenspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Adana Demirspor have a series of guest games.

In this match Adana Demirspor is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Adana Demirspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana Demirspor
Turkish First League
30.12.20	İstanbulspor - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
26.12.20	Balikesirspor - Adana Demirspor	0:1 ✺
21.12.20	Adana Demirspor - Tuzlaspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.12.20	Trabzonspor - Adana Demirspor	2:3 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
13.12.20	Giresunspor - Adana Demirspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWL
- Menemenspor
Turkish First League
27.12.20	Menemenspor - Keçiörengücü	0:0 ✺
23.12.20	Adanaspor - Menemenspor	2:3 ✺
19.12.20	Eskişehirspor - Menemenspor	2:2 ✺
14.12.20	Menemenspor - İstanbulspor	1:2 ✺
08.12.20	Samsunspor - Menemenspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.02.20	Menemenspor - Adana Demirspor	2:3
06.10.19	Adana Demirspor - Menemenspor	0:1

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