Match Info

1. Lig - Round 30

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ismail Ogan Stadium (Serik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Serik Belediyespor		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.55	Watch
	5.45	3.72	1.56
	5.29	4.2	1.59
	5.12	4.32	1.56	Watch
	5	3.8	1.6
	5.16	3.9	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↓ (7.32)	3.92 ↓ (4.5)	1.57 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
17.7%

Draw
23.5%

Pendikspor
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

20.5%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

19.6%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serik Belediyespor's performance.

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pendikspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serik Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pendikspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Serik Belediyespor - Pendikspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pendikspor will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Serik Belediyespor (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Serik Belediyespor (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sapan V. (G) 55. Skvortsov L. 4. Martynov A. 28. Montes A. 39. Demirozu M. 70. Ozcan S. 98. Topalli J. 77. Nalepa M. 58. Asan B. 20. Dilli S. (C) 79. Altiparmak G.	1. Dilmen D. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 5. Sulungoz B. (C) 4. Soldo V. 6. Sequeira 60. Karadeniz B. 34. Rogerio Thuram 18. Akman H. 14. Yesil H. 8. Denic D. 9. Clarke-Harris J.
Substitutes
14. Adeola R. 44. Cavlan C. 22. Ceylan B. 5. Demir C. 23. Gunes E. (G) 95. Koc A. 88. Nefiz E. 40. Nwachukwu C. 9. Sadygov I. 2. Tashkyn S.	12. Bitin G. 66. Dogan F. 88. Fidan Y. 23. Gokce E. 17. Karademir A. 30. Koyuncu E. (G) 28. Pekdemir E. 81. Tekdal T. 77. Ugur A. 10. Wilks M.
Coaches
Boran M.	Kaloglu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Akman H. ⚽, Sequeira (A),
21', 0 - 2, Rogerio Thuram ⚽, Clarke-Harris J. (A),
29', Rogerio Thuram 🟨,
31', 0 - 3, Soldo V. ⚽, Denic D. (A),
42', Akman H. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Demirozu M. ↓, Cavlan C. ↑,
46', Skvortsov L. ↓, Nwachukwu C. ↑,
46', Ozcan S. ↓, Ceylan B. ↑,
50', Clarke-Harris J. 🟨,
69', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Karademir A. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Topalli J. ⚽, Nalepa M. (A),
80', 2 - 3, Montes A. ⚽, Dilli S. (A),
84', Kitsiou S. ↓, Gokce E. ↑,
84', Karadeniz B. ↓, Fidan Y. ↑,
88', 3 - 3, Ceylan B. ⚽, Nwachukwu C. (A),
89', Ceylan B. 🟨,
89', Dilli S. 🟨,
90+2', Asan B. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 4, Rogerio Thuram ⚽, Denic D. (A),
90+7', Cavlan C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Serik Belediyespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pendikspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Serik Belediyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pendikspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B. (Inactive) Cicek E. (Suspended) Isen B. (Suspended)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.5:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
07.03.26	Amed SK - Serik Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Erzurumspor - Serik Belediyespor	4:0 ✺
18.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Çorum	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.2 LLLLW
- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
06.03.26	Pendikspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Adana Demirspor - Pendikspor	0:5 ✺
23.02.26	Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
19.02.26	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Pendikspor - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.10.25	Pendikspor - Serik Belediyespor	4:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
27.01.21	Pendikspor - Serik Belediyespor	4:1

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