Match Info

1. Lig - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.7	Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.11	3.08	3.74	Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.12	3.03	3.74	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)	3.04 ↓ (3.21)	3.65 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
44.2%

Draw
30.4%

Erzurumspor
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Akyuz F. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 33. Kurukalip C. 14. Doh M. 11. Johnson D. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 70. Serginho 9. Wesley Moraes	16. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. 2. Akbas M. 21. Roshi O. 24. Crociata G. 25. Azubuike O. 15. Giorbelidze G. 10. Tozlu E. 91. Teklic T. 29. Sylla C.
Substitutes
1. Bilgin E. (G) 90. Demiroglu B. 5. Demirol A. 10. Dovedan N. 15. Dursun S. 91. Gray A. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Mert M. 22. Tintis E. 23. Ulvan T.	4. Akkan G. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 9. Kilinc K. 3. Kirtay Y. 98. Moradaoglu K. (G) 20. Ozhan F. 17. Sarikaya S. 7. Sever I. 88. Tasev T. 6. Tas M.
Coaches
Ak O.	Kutlu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Akbas M. 🟨,
21', Serginho 🟨,
44', Sylla C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Doh M. 🟨,
58', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
61', Azubuike O. ↓, Tas M. ↑,
68', Tas M. 🟨,
69', Tas M. 🟨,
79', Roshi O. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
81', Doh M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
86', Sylla C. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
87', Dadakdeniz A. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Dovedan N. (A),
90+7', 🟨,
90+8', Gurpuz G. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Erzurumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Karagümrük will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O. (Inactive)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
29.03.25	Yeni Malatyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWLW
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
28.03.25	Erzurumspor - Manisa FK	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Amed SK - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
10.03.25	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	1:3 ✺
06.03.25	Erzurumspor - Pendikspor	2:4 ✺
02.03.25	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
24.11.24	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3
Turkish Super League
03.03.21	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2
30.10.20	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor	5:1
Turkish First League
10.03.20	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3
03.11.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor	0:1
Turkish Second League White Group
22.01.17	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1

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