Match Info

1. Lig - Round 36

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Adanaspor		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	17	11	1.08	Watch
	9	6	1.21
	34	9	1.09	Watch
	18.23	9.44	1.09
	17.26	8.72	1.12
	10	5.5	1.22
	17.1	10.1	1.1	Watch
	34	9	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	19.57 ↑ (8.71)	8.6 ↑ (5.07)	1.13 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adanaspor
4.8%

Draw
11%

Gençlerbirliği
84.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

18.3%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

17.1%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adanaspor's form might have worsened.

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gençlerbirliği's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adanaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gençlerbirliği, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Gençlerbirliği (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Aslan N. (G) 26. Yildirim M. 64. Guzelbay C. 4. Aytekin H. 35. Can Esendemir Y. 19. Midilic Y. 97. Durmaz E. 9. Candeias D. 94. Aksu E. 21. Ivan A. 11. Cinar O.	18. Erenturk E. (G) 24. Babacan A. 90. Osmanoglu S. 15. Zuzek Z. 23. Hanousek M. 16. Kabak A. 89. Amilton 14. Nalepa M. 7. Mimaroglu M. 5. Etebo P. 9. Popa D.
Substitutes
17. Altunbas M. 25. Celik M. (G) 7. Emeksiz D. 99. Matur O. 98. Tuzun B. 79. Urhan S. (G)	19. Altiparmak G. 12. Berber O. 25. Islamoglu U. 10. Joca 61. Kemaloglu E. 99. Leo Gaucho 8. Onur S. 13. Ozdemir O. (G) 27. Unal E. 88. Uzum F.
Coaches
Unal E.	Eroglu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Aksu E. 🟨,
28', Durmaz E. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Amilton ⚽, Nalepa M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Kabak A. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Popa D. ⚽,
51', Aslan N. 🟨,
51', Mimaroglu M. (Pen),
57', Nalepa M. 🟨,
59', 0 - 3, Amilton ⚽,
65', Amilton ↓, Joca ↑,
65', Popa D. ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
71', Zuzek Z. ↓, Uzum F. ↑,
71', Midilic Y. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
82', Etebo P. ↓, Berber O. ↑,
88', 0 - 4, Leo Gaucho ⚽, Nalepa M. (A),
90+2', 0 - 5, Leo Gaucho ⚽, Hanousek M. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Adanaspor is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 3.

Adanaspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gençlerbirliği is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Adanaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gençlerbirliği is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Adanaspor: Cekici E. (Yellow Cards) Diakite C. (Inactive) Yepie Yepie S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Cagiran B. (Yellow Cards) Gureler Y. (Injury) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:7 (average 0.9:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
14.04.25	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
10.04.25	Adanaspor - Kocaelispor	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Adanaspor - İstanbulspor	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Bandırmaspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
20.04.25	Gençlerbirliği - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
10.04.25	Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği	0:3 ✺
28.03.25	Gençlerbirliği - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	0:2
07.04.24	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	1:1
10.11.23	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:2
24.10.22	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1
17.01.22	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	0:3
21.08.21	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0
17.03.19	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:1

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