Match Info

A-League - Round 18

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Coopers Stadium (Adelaide)

Referee: Evans S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Adelaide United		Perth Glory

	1	X	2
	1.96	4.1	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.85
	2.02	3.95	3.05	Watch
	2.06	4.05	3.29
	2.05	4.1	3.18	Watch
	2.05	3.7	3
	2.08	4.04	3.25	Watch
	2	4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)	3.96 ↑ (3.63)	3.12 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Adelaide United
45.9%

Draw
23.8%

Perth Glory
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

25.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Adelaide United - Perth Glory Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Adelaide (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Adelaide (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Adelaide United will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide United will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smits J. (G) 14. Barnett J. 3. Vriends B. (C) 4. Kikianis P. 7. Kitto R. 44. White R. 12. Yull J. 55. Alagich E. 10. Muniz J. 19. Dukuly Y. 9. Jovanovic L.	29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 4. Wootton S. 24. Lebib A. 3. Sutton S. 20. Ostler T. 27. Freney W. 39. De Abreu G. 9. Kucharski J. 22. Taggart A. (C) 18. Tevere L.
Substitutes
35. Burkitt B. 40. Cox E. (G) 23. Duzel L. 17. Folami B. 65. Garuccio J. 36. Madanha P. 52. Phillis S.	1. Birighitti M. (G) 67. Colakovski S. 25. Despotovski S. 5. Foxe R. 7. Pennington N. 16. Popovic G. 8. Timmins C.
Coaches
Andrioli A.	Griffiths A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Muniz J. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Yull J. ⚽,
31', Ostler T. ↓, Despotovski S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Jovanovic L. ⚽, White R. (A),
55', Tevere L. ↓, Pennington N. ↑,
55', Taggart A. ↓, Popovic G. ↑,
55', Kucharski J. ↓, Colakovski S. ↑,
63', Kikianis P. ↓, Phillis S. ↑,
70', Jovanovic L. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
70', White R. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
82', Lebib A. 🟨,
84', Phillis S. 🟨,
84', Muniz J. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
84', Dukuly Y. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
84', Freney W. ↓, Timmins C. ↑,
89', Colakovski S. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, Duzel L. ⚽, Madanha P. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.

Adelaide is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Perth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo (Hip Injury) Cox E. (Knee Injury) Goodwin C. (Injury) Pierias D. (Knee Injury) Riak A. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Kaltack B. (Red Card) O'Neill B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:41. (average 1.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.9:1.7).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Perth Glory: 3.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Adelaide United - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United
Australian A-League
14.02.26	Sydney - Adelaide United	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Adelaide United - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLTWW
- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
13.02.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Perth Glory - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Perth Glory - Dianella White Eagles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
20.12.25	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	0:1
12.04.25	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	4:1
29.11.24	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	2:2
07.04.24	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	2:4
09.02.24	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	3:3
23.04.23	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	4:4
02.01.23	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	2:0

Upcoming Matches