Match Info

A-League - Round 15

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: HBF Park (Perth)

Referee: Evans S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Perth Glory		Auckland FC

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.98
	3.35	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.69	3.7	2.04
	3.32	3.66	2.12	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.96	3.66	1.98	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.52)	3.57 ↑ (3.48)	2 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Glory
26.3%

Draw
26.4%

Auckland FC
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.5%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Auckland FC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	6.7%	80%

Perth Glory - Auckland FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Perth (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Auckland FC will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Auckland FC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Auckland (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. 3. Sutton S. 20. Ostler T. 18. Bozinovski R. 27. Freney W. 7. Pennington N. 22. Taggart A. (C) 34. Lawrence T.	20. Sail O. (G) 2. Sakai H. (C) 23. Hall D. 4. Pijnaker N. 15. De Vries F. 8. Gallegos L. F. 6. Verstraete L. 21. Randall J. 77. Brook L. 10. May G. 9. Cosgrove S.
Substitutes
67. Colakovski S. 39. De Abreu G. 25. Despotovski S. 9. Kucharski J. 15. Lisolajski Z. 11. Wales L. 40. Warner R. (G)	35. Bidois J. 22. Brimmer J. 17. Elliot C. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 7. Howieson C. 27. Rogerson L. 1. Woud M. (G)
Coaches
Griffiths A.	Corica S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Pijnaker N. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Randall J. ⚽, May G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ostler T. ↓, Colakovski S. ↑,
48', De Vries F. 🟨,
60', Pennington N. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
60', Bozinovski R. ↓, De Abreu G. ↑,
70', Sail O. ↓, Woud M. ↑,
71', May G. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Kucharski J. ⚽, Wootton S. (A),
87', Freney W. 🟨,
89', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
89', Randall J. ↓, Bidois J. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Kucharski J. ⚽, Colakovski S. (A),
90+7', De Abreu G. 🟨,
90+8', Taggart A. ↓, Lisolajski Z. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Auckland could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Perth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Perth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Auckland FC: 14.55% Perth Glory: 3.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Auckland FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
25.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Perth Glory - Dianella White Eagles	3:1 ✺
Australian A-League
16.01.26	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	3:0 ✺
02.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
23.01.26	Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Macarthur FC - Auckland FC	1:1 ✺
31.12.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
27.04.25	Auckland FC - Perth Glory	1:0
11.01.25	Perth Glory - Auckland FC	1:0

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