Match Info

A-League - Round 14

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Brisbane Roar		Adelaide United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3
	1.98	3.55	3.55	Watch
	1.99	3.65	3.88
	1.91	3.71	3.93	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	2	3.85	3.69	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.08)	3.63 ↑ (3.4)	3.64 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar
48%

Draw
26%

Adelaide United
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Adelaide (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brisbane Roar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 3 - 60%). Adelaide (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 6. Ludwik A. 3. Valkanis D. 23. McGarry J. 8. Klein S. 10. Vrakas G. 31. Maieroni N. 26. O'Shea J. (C) 19. Ruhs M. 9. Long Ch.	22. Smits J. (G) 52. Phillis S. 4. Kikianis P. 7. Kitto R. 12. Yull J. 14. Barnett J. 44. White R. 62. Talladira F. 99. Riak A. 87. Anselmo 11. Goodwin C. (C)
Substitutes
25. D'Agostino N. 16. Dench M. 11. Freke M. (G) 13. Hore H. 44. Lauton J. 41. Shaw E. 17. Vidic J.	35. Burkitt B. 40. Cox E. (G) 19. Dukuly Y. 9. Jovanovic L. 36. Madanha P. 10. Muniz J. 71. Stanisic V.
Coaches
Valkanis M.	Andrioli A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Klein S. ⚽, Maieroni N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Anselmo ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
46', Riak A. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Burkitt B. ⚽, Yull J. (A),
60', 2 - 1, Long Ch. ⚽, Ruhs M. (A),
62', Phillis S. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
62', Goodwin C. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
65', Ruhs M. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
66', Muniz J. 🟨,
67', Talladira F. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Burkitt B. ⚽, Dukuly Y. (A),
77', Long Ch. ↓, D'Agostino N. ↑,
77', Vrakas G. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
82', O'Shea J. ↓, Shaw E. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Burkitt B. ⚽, Muniz J. (A),
90+3', Burkitt B. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.

Brisbane has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Adelaide is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brisbane could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Brazete J. (Inactive) D'Agostino N. (Injury) O'Shea J. (Inactive) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Adelaide: Dukuly Y. (International duty) Jovanovic L. (International duty) Pierias D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.5:2).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Brisbane Roar: 3.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League
16.01.26	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	0:3 ✺
31.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW
- Adelaide United
Australian A-League
17.01.26	Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	0:4 ✺
27.12.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
07.12.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	0:1
22.04.25	Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United	1:1
08.03.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	1:1
23.11.24	Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United	2:3
Club Friendly
05.10.24	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	1:1
Australian A-League
26.04.24	Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United	3:4
09.12.23	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	0:2

Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide