Match Info

A-League - Round 17

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: HBF Park (Perth)

Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV
World	Onefootball


	Perth Glory		Newcastle Jets

	1	X	2
	2.75	4	2.2	Watch
	2.82	3.7	2.22	Watch
	2.92	4.05	2.27
	2.83	4.03	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.2
	2.87	3.93	2.31	Watch
	2.8	3.8	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.29)	3.89 ↑ (3.65)	2.24 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Glory
33.5%

Draw
24.3%

Newcastle Jets
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

25.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perth Glory's form might have worsened.

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Jets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perth Glory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	6.7%	80%

Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Perth will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Newcastle will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Perth (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Perth (2.38) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Perth (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle Jets will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth (votes: 4 - 40%). Newcastle (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 4. Wootton S. (C) 45. Kaltack B. 3. Sutton S. 25. Despotovski S. 27. Freney W. 39. De Abreu G. 18. Tevere L. 9. Kucharski J. 22. Taggart A.	1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 5. Shaughnessy J. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 14. Burgess M. (C) 8. Bayliss L. 13. Taylor C. 28. Dobson W. 7. Adams E. 9. Rose L.
Substitutes
1. Birighitti M. (G) 67. Colakovski S. 24. Lebib A. 15. Lisolajski Z. 20. Ostler T. 16. Popovic G. 8. Timmins C.	43. Bertoncello X. 42. Cooper M. 11. Gibson B. 18. Mizunuma K. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 24. Nunes A. 41. Scicluna L.
Coaches
Griffiths A.	Milligan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Bayliss L. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
32', Despotovski S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Rose L. ⚽,
55', Kucharski J. ↓, Colakovski S. ↑,
55', Despotovski S. ↓, Ostler T. ↑,
67', Dobson W. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
67', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
67', Kaltack B. 🟥,
70', Tevere L. ↓, Lisolajski Z. ↑,
78', Taylor C. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
79', Adams E. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
79', De Abreu G. 🟨,
82', 0 - 3, Bertoncello X. ⚽, Mizunuma K. (A),
83', Taggart A. ↓, Popovic G. ↑,
83', De Abreu G. ↓, Timmins C. ↑,
85', Scicluna L. 🟨,
87', Bayliss L. ↓, Nunes A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Colakovski S. ⚽, Shamoon C. A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 1.

Perth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Newcastle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Foxe R. (Inactive) O'Neill B. (Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A. (Knee Injury) Baylis J. (Inactive) Bracco C. (Knee Injury) Clough Z. (Groin Injury) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) Grozos K. (Calf Injury) James N. (Inactive) Nkomo R. (Inactive) Van Dorssen B. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:37. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Newcastle Jets: 12.08% Perth Glory: 3.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Newcastle Jets - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
06.02.26	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Perth Glory - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Perth Glory - Dianella White Eagles	3:1 ✺
Australian A-League
16.01.26	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLWL
- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
08.02.26	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	4:1 ✺
23.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
23.11.25	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	1:2
25.01.25	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:2
14.12.24	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	0:4
09.03.24	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	2:2
16.12.23	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:2
22.10.23	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	2:2
18.03.23	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:2

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