Match Info

A-League - Round 16

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Coopers Stadium (Adelaide)

Referee: Barreiro J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Adelaide United		Newcastle Jets

	1	X	2
	3	4.2	1.96	Watch
	2.98	4.15	2.02	Watch
	3.12	4.3	2.12
	3.04	4.36	2.05	Watch
	3	3.9	2
	3.28	4.36	2.01	Watch
	3.1	4.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.22)	4.21 ↑ (3.88)	2.02 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United
30.8%

Draw
22.5%

Newcastle Jets
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

23.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

23.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United's form might have worsened.

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Jets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	5.6%	77.8%

Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Adelaide (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Adelaide (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle Jets will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Newcastle (votes: 13 - 81.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smits J. (G) 14. Barnett J. 52. Phillis S. 3. Vriends B. 7. Kitto R. 19. Dukuly Y. 12. Yull J. 10. Muniz J. 44. White R. 11. Goodwin C. 9. Jovanovic L.	1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 5. Shaughnessy J. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 14. Burgess M. 7. Adams E. 28. Dobson W. 8. Bayliss L. 13. Taylor C. 9. Rose L.
Substitutes
55. Alagich E. 35. Burkitt B. 23. Duzel L. 17. Folami B. 36. Madanha P. 62. Talladira F. 13. Vartuli M. (G)	43. Bertoncello X. 42. Cooper M. 11. Gibson B. 18. Mizunuma K. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 24. Nunes A. 41. Scicluna L.
Coaches
Andrioli A.	Milligan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Goodwin C. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Taylor C. ⚽, Bayliss L. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Muniz J. ⚽, Jovanovic L. (A),
57', Dukuly Y. 🟨,
59', Jovanovic L. 🟨,
63', Muniz J. ↓, Alagich E. ↑,
63', Jovanovic L. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Dukuly Y. ⚽, Alagich E. (A),
66', Dobson W. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Taylor C. ⚽,
75', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
75', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
75', Adams E. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
79', Vriends B. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
79', Burkitt B. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.

In recent matches, Adelaide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Newcastle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Adelaide: Alagich E. (Inactive) Anselmo (Hip Injury) Duzel L. (Knock) Pierias D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A. (Knee Injury) Bracco C. (Knee Injury) Clough Z. (Groin Injury) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) Grozos K. (Calf Injury) James N. (Inactive) Nkomo R. (Inactive) Van Dorssen B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Adelaide: Barnett J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Newcastle Jets: 12.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United
Australian A-League
30.01.26	Adelaide United - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWTL
- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
31.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	4:1 ✺
23.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	0:1 ✺
31.12.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Cup
30.07.25	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	2:1
Australian A-League
15.02.25	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	1:2
07.12.24	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	0:1
15.03.24	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	0:1
22.12.23	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	3:1
11.03.23	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	2:4
27.12.22	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	0:1

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