The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Admira 27%
Draw 26.4%
Wolfsberger 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
24.8%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
19.3%
59.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Admira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
The chances for Wolfsberger have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Admira than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsberger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Admira - Wolfsberger Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group)).
Admira has the most likely position - 12 (24.3%), has project points - 22, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wolfsberger has the most likely position - 3 (21.32%), has project points - 28, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (18%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Admira is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Wolfsberger is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Wolfsberger will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 29 head-to-head matches Admira won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 36-53.
Including matches at home between the teams Admira won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-18.