Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 26Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Afragolese |
|
Acerrana |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.29 |
4.75 |
9.1 |
Watch |
 |
1.26 |
4.7 |
10.5 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.28 ↓ (1.3) |
4.73 ↓ (4.8) |
9.8 ↑ (8.77) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Afragolese 71.4% | Draw 19.3% | Acerrana 9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Afragolese - Acerrana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, Montaperto G. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Talamo N. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 1, Longo F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+12', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).Recent performances by Afragolese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Acerrana has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Acerrana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Afragolese is the undisputed favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afragolese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;