Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Manfredonia |
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Afragolese |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.44 |
3.15 |
2.73 |
Watch |
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2.39 |
3.1 |
2.69 |
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2.42 |
3.14 |
2.71 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↑ (2.38) |
3.13 ↓ (3.25) |
2.71 ↑ (2.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manfredonia 37.5% | Draw 29% | Afragolese 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manfredonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Manfredonia - Afragolese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90', 1 - 0, Urain E. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Gioielli F. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).Manfredonia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Afragolese is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Manfredonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Manfredonia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;