Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Acerrana		Ferrandina

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Acerrana
36%

Draw
27.9%

Ferrandina
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Acerrana aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acerrana 1926
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.01.26	Martina Calcio - Acerrana	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Manfredonia - Acerrana	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Acerrana - Barletta	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Pompei - Acerrana	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Acerrana - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TLLTW
- ASD Ferrandina
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.01.26	Ferrandina - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Ferrandina - Heraclea	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Nardo - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Ferrandina - Nola	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gravina - Ferrandina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWL

Acerrana - Ferrandina