The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Afragolese 40.5%
Draw 28.5%
Nardo 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
26.5%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
25.4%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Nardo aligns with the current prediction.
Afragolese - Nardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 6).
Afragolese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Nardo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.