Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Afragolese		Heraclea

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Afragolese
44.7%

Draw
27.5%

Heraclea
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Heraclea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent performances by Afragolese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Heraclea has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Afragolese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.01.26	Pompei - Afragolese	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Afragolese - Nola	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Sarnese - Afragolese	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Afragolese - Città di Fasano	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Afragolese - Francavilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLL
- Heraclea Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.01.26	Heraclea - Gravina	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Città di Fasano - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Heraclea - Paganese	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Normanna - Heraclea	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ferrandina - Heraclea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL

Afragolese - Heraclea