Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 22Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Afragolese |
|
Heraclea |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.36 |
3.25 |
 Watch |
 |
2.06 |
3.26 |
3.23 |
|
 |
2 |
3.33 |
3.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(2) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
3.27 ↑
(3.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Afragolese
44.7% | Draw
27.5% | Heraclea
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Heraclea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Afragolese - Heraclea Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90', 1 - 0, Filippini L. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 11).Recent performances by Afragolese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Heraclea has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Afragolese will hold a modest advantage in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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