Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Afragolese		Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.6
	2.34	3.35	2.73	Watch
	1.97	3.18	3.58
	2.33	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.28)	3.25 ↓ (3.36)	3.17 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
42.8%

Draw
28.2%

Francavilla
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Afragolese - Francavilla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Afragolese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Da Silva J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
63', 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Afragolese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Francavilla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Francavilla has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Afragolese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.12.25	Gravina - Afragolese	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Real Normanna - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Afragolese - Paganese	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Afragolese	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Afragolese - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTWTW
- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.12.25	Francavilla - Sarnese	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Francavilla - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Francavilla - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Acerrana - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
22.01.23	Afragolese - Francavilla	3:2

Afragolese - Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide