The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Afragolese 23.6%
Draw 26.1%
Martina Calcio 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
25.7%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
22.7%
44.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Martina Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martina Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Afragolese - Martina Calcio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 6).
In recent matches, Afragolese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Martina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Afragolese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Martina is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afragolese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.