Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Fidelis Andria		Afragolese

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.55	4.15
	1.68	3.75	4.32	Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.69
	1.71	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)	4.39 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fidelis Andria
53.9%

Draw
25.4%

Afragolese
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

25.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-1%)

Fidelis Andria - Afragolese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Fidelis Andria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Afragolese is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fidelis Andria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fidelis Andria is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
02.11.25	Heraclea - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Fidelis Andria - Nardo	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Città di Fasano - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Fidelis Andria - Nola	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Real Normanna - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLWL
- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.10.25	Acerrana - Afragolese	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Afragolese - Barletta	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Nardo - Afragolese	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Afragolese - Manfredonia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Afragolese - Pompei	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLWW

Fidelis Andria - Afragolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide