Match Info

League Cup - Round 4

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Afturelding		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.2	1.95
	2.38	3.7	2.37
	2.29	3.85	2.72
	16.06	8.96	1.11	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.63
	1.96	4.45	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (1.58)	4.78 ↑ (4.43)	2.25 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
24.9%

Draw
24%

Thor Akureyri
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

20.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afturelding's form might have worsened.

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	2.3%	93.2%

Afturelding - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Afturelding will win (votes: 2 - 4.5%). Thor will win (votes: 41 - 93.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thor: 85.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Thor (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Afturelding (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Thor (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thor Akureyri will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Afturelding (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Thor (votes: 17 - 94.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 3.

Thor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic League Cup
21.02.26	Valur - Afturelding	4:0 ✺
06.02.26	Afturelding - Grótta	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Akraness - Afturelding	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
25.10.25	Akraness - Afturelding	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Afturelding - Vestri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLT
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic League Cup
07.02.26	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
13.09.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Thor Akureyri - Fjölnir	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Selfoss - Thor Akureyri	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Thor Akureyri - Njarðvík	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
08.02.25	Afturelding - Thor Akureyri	4:0
Icelandic Division 1
13.07.24	Afturelding - Thor Akureyri	0:3
09.05.24	Thor Akureyri - Afturelding	4:2
16.07.23	Thor Akureyri - Afturelding	1:3
12.05.23	Afturelding - Thor Akureyri	1:0
27.08.22	Thor Akureyri - Afturelding	0:0
24.06.22	Afturelding - Thor Akureyri	4:1

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