The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Throttur Reykjavik 27.2%
Draw 24%
Thor Akureyri 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
24.8%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
25.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Throttur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Throttur Reykjavik's form might have worsened.
Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Throttur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Throttur Reykjavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thor Akureyri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Throttur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gudmundsson T. (G) 2. Blondal E. 21. Hardarson B. 32. Ingason A. 33. Ingvarsson U. 80. Jeffs L. 22. Kristjansson K. 8. Stefansson B. (C) 25. Thorhallsson H. 4. Thorhallsson N. 7. Tomasson H.
1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 24. Geirsson Y. 37. Gunnarsson S. 25. Jakobsen C. 15. Kristjansson K. 10. Magnusson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 9. Victor R.
Substitutes
6. Einarsson E. 5. Gudbergsson K. 9. Hafthorsson V. 19. Haraldsson B. 12. Jonsson B. (G) 45. Sigurdsson V. 20. Steinarsson V.
17. Gislason F. 3. Guardia J. 8. Halldorsson E. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 4. Runarsson H. 7. Sigurjonsson O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Thorhallsson N. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Gunnarsson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thorhallsson N. ↓, Gudbergsson K. ↑,
49', Kristjansson K. 🟨,
60', Magnusson A. 🟨,
60', Geirsson Y. ↓, Guardia J. ↑,
60', Jeffs L. ↓, Sigurdsson V. ↑,
65', Magnusson A. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
68', Ingason A. ↓, Hafthorsson V. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Kristjansson I. ⚽,
82', Ingvarsson U. ↓, Steinarsson V. ↑,
83', Sigurjonsson O. 🟨,
83', Sigurdsson V. 🟨,
90', Victor R. ↓, Gislason F. ↑,
90+1', Guardia J. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Hafthorsson V. ⚽, Gudbergsson K. (A),
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Thor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 1.3:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Throttur won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.9:2.3).
Watch
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Gudmundsson T. (G) 
Affi Y. 
Balde I. 
Bayiha C. 
Jakobsen C. 
Victor R. 
Guardia J. 
Lalic F. (G) 
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