Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Arnedo		Agoncillo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.84	3.39	4.04
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.81	3.25	4.14
	1.85	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.98 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnedo
49.4%

Draw
27.8%

Agoncillo
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.6%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Arnedo - Agoncillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Hernandez D. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Urturi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Arnedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arnedo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Arnedo is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Agoncillo	5	2	2	1	12:8	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arnedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
20.12.25	Villegas - Arnedo	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Comillas - Arnedo	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Arnedo - Vianés	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	San Marcial - Arnedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTTT
- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
21.12.25	Agoncillo - San Marcial	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	La Calzada - Agoncillo	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Agoncillo - Varea	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Agoncillo - Autol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
13.02.22	Agoncillo - Arnedo	0:3
08.09.18	Agoncillo - Arnedo	0:1

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