Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 15Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Agoncillo |
|
San Marcial |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.7 |
4.95 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.72 |
5.1 |
|
 |
1.57 |
3.5 |
5 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.64 |
5.49 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.66 |
4.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.57) |
3.64 ↑
(3.61) |
5.06 ↓
(5.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Agoncillo
57.3% | Draw
24.8% | San Marcial
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)San Marcial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Agoncillo - San Marcial Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Reinaldo A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).Agoncillo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).San Marcial has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Agoncillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Agoncillo is the team to beat.We predict that Agoncillo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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