Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Rio Branco FC

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.4	5.2
	1.57	3.57	5.05
	1.53	3.5	6
	1.49	3.84	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.91)	3.58 ↑ (2.89)	5.49 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
58.5%

Draw
25.1%

Rio Branco FC
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

31.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

31.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.

Rio Branco FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Branco FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco FC than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Rio Branco FC Predictions

Users Predictions: Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

ASA in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rio Branco FC is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match ASA is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's ASA to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches ASA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
07.08.22	Rio Branco FC - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
31.07.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Afogados da Ingazeira - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
16.07.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
10.07.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWWWW
- Rio Branco FC
Brazilian Serie D
07.08.22	Rio Branco FC - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
31.07.22	Rio Branco FC - Pacajus	1:0 penalties ✺
24.07.22	Pacajus - Rio Branco FC	1:1 ✺
17.07.22	Rio Branco FC - Trem	3:0 ✺
10.07.22	São Raimundo Manaus - Rio Branco FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.08.22	Rio Branco FC - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Rio Branco FC