Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.45	2.7	2.95
	2.24	2.85	3
	2.32	2.67	3.27
	2.62	2.62	2.7
	2.84	2.69	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.12)	2.74 ↑ (2.55)	2.88 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
35.9%

Draw
32.9%

Santa Cruz Recife
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

34.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

34.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	65.6%	3.1%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. ASA will win (votes: 10 - 31.3%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 65.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.1% – 82.1%.

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Preview

Recent matches ASA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches ASA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.22	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:0 ✺
26.06.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
12.06.22	Jacuipense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Juazeirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LTWTW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Juazeirense	1:0 ✺
27.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Santa Cruz Recife	1:4 ✺
19.06.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Jacuipense	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
23.04.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Santa Cruz Recife