Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Afogados da Ingazeira		Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.3	2.7	3.3
	2.17	2.85	3.1
	2.21	2.87	3.28
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.23	3.14	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.95)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	3.13 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afogados da Ingazeira
40.2%

Draw
31%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

30.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

31.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afogados da Ingazeira's form might have worsened.

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afogados da Ingazeira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Afogados da Ingazeira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ASA is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afogados da Ingazeira FC
Brazilian Serie D
16.07.22	Afogados da Ingazeira - São Paulo Crystal	7:0 ✺
09.07.22	Icasa - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:5 ✺
03.07.22	Afogados da Ingazeira - América RN	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Globo FC - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
19.06.22	Afogados da Ingazeira - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTLT
- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
16.07.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
10.07.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:0 ✺
26.06.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLTW

Afogados da Ingazeira - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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