Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.65	3.3
	2.3	2.7	3.3
	2.26	2.65	3.2
	2.32	2.62	3.34
	2.31	2.84	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.75)	2.69 ↑ (2.59)	3.26 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
39.1%

Draw
33.4%

Pouso Alegre
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

34%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

34.4%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pouso Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pouso Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. ASA will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Pouso Alegre will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ASA: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

ASA in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pouso Alegre is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ASA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

ASA will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
14.08.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Rio Branco FC	1:0 penalties ✺
07.08.22	Rio Branco FC - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
31.07.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Afogados da Ingazeira - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
16.07.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWWW
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
13.08.22	Pouso Alegre - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Pouso Alegre - Operário Ltda	2:0 ✺
24.07.22	Operário Ltda - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Noroeste - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWTT

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Pouso Alegre

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Preview

Form

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