Match Info

Date: 23 June 2022, Thursday


	Ahlafors		Nordvärmland

	1	X	2
	1.37	5	5.5
	1.33	4.6	5.4
	1.36	4.8	5.4
	1.41	5.17	5.66
	1.38	4.8	5
	1.38	4.9	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	4.88 ↓ (5)	5.54 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahlafors
65.4%

Draw
18.4%

Nordvärmland
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.1%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

17.3%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Nordvärmland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ahlafors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordvärmland than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Ahlafors - Nordvärmland Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ahlafors will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Nordvärmland will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nordvärmland: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Norrland (Promotion Group) and 11).

Ahlafors is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nordvärmland is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ahlafors is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ahlafors won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlafors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
17.06.22	Stenungsunds - Ahlafors	1:2 ✺
10.06.22	Ahlafors - Lidkoping	1:2 ✺
05.06.22	Kumla - Ahlafors	0:1 ✺
29.05.22	Säffle - Ahlafors	3:5 ✺
25.05.22	Ahlafors - Angered	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWT
- Nordvärmlands FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
19.06.22	Nordvärmland - Karlslund	2:3 ✺
11.06.22	Grebbestad - Nordvärmland	2:1 ✺
05.06.22	Nordvärmland - Herrestads	3:1 ✺
30.05.22	Yxhults - Nordvärmland	3:0 ✺
26.05.22	Nordvärmland - Gauthiod	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
09.04.22	Nordvärmland - Ahlafors	1:4
07.11.21	Nordvärmland - Ahlafors	1:1
28.08.21	Ahlafors - Nordvärmland	2:0
22.08.20	Ahlafors - Nordvärmland	2:1

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