Match Info

Date: 19 August 2020, Wednesday


	Akhmat Grozny		Rotor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3	4
	2.14	2.8	3.95
	2.11	2.9	3.8
	2.14	2.86	4.12
	2.1	2.9	4
	2.23	3.08	4.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)	2.93 ↓ (3.08)	4.02 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
44.4%

Draw
32.1%

Rotor
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

20.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akhmat Grozny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.1%	41.2%	14.7%

Akhmat Grozny - Rotor Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Rotor will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akhmat: 27.4% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Akhmat has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rotor has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Akhmat is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rotor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Akhmat have a series of guest games.

Akhmat will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
14.08.20	Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
09.08.20	Arsenal Tula - Akhmat Grozny	0:0 ✺
22.07.20	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	4:0 ✺
15.07.20	Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	3:0 ✺
11.07.20	Akhmat Grozny - Zenit	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLT
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Premier League
15.08.20	Dynamo Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
11.08.20	Rotor - Zenit	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.20	CSKA Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
27.07.20	Rotor - Dynamo Stavropol	1:0 ✺
18.07.20	Rotor - Legion Makhachkala	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTWW

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