Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Lukoil Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5


	Spartak Moscow		Akhmat Grozny

	1	X	2
	1.41	5.06	7.93
	1.42	5.06	7.89	Watch
	1.52	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	4.71 ↑ (3.94)	7.11 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
66.1%

Draw
20.4%

Akhmat Grozny
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

23.3%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Akhmat will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Maksimenko A. (C) 97. Denisov D. 3. Wooh C. 4. Djiku A. 83. Fernandes G. 18. Umyarov N. 68. Litvinov R. 7. Solari P. 5. Barco E. 10. Marquinhos 9. Ugalde M.	1. Ulyanov V. (G) 81. Sidorov M. 22. Zare M. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. (C) 19. Pryakhin S. 17. Cacintura E. 9. Mansilla B. 10. Zhemaletdinov R. 20. Samorodov M. 77. Melkadze G.
Substitutes
27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 11. Garcia L. 35. Martins C. 24. Massalyga N. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 2. Reabciuk O. 14. Samoshnikov I. 91. Zabolotnyi A. 47. Zobnin R. 28. Zorin D.	27. Davlitgereev A. 37. Gadio P. 4. Ibishev T. 23. Kenzhebek G. 82. Khlusevich D. 13. Konate M. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 90. Ndong O. 88. Shelia G. (G) 80. Tsarukyan V. 40. Utsiev R.
Coaches
Carcedo J.	Cherchesov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Barco E. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
28', 2 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽, Solari P. (A),
39', 3 - 0, Fernandes G. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
41', 3 - 1, Samorodov M. ⚽, Cacintura E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mansilla B. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
46', Pryakhin S. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
53', Wooh C. 🟨,
64', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
64', Wooh C. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
72', Marquinhos ↓, Martins C. ↑,
86', Zare M. ↓, Ndong O. ↑,
86', Sidorov M. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
90', Ugalde M. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
90', Solari P. ↓, Massalyga N. ↑,
90+1', Denisov D. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 1.

Spartak M is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Akhmat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spartak M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Spartak M is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S. (Knee Injury) Zorin D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Akhmat: Sadulaev L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Spartak M: Saus V. (Inactive)

We predict that Spartak M will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Spartak Moscow: 15.08% Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	17:8	9	20
13	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
12.04.26	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
08.04.26	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
05.04.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Orenburg - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
18.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWW
- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
11.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
09.11.25	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	1:2
30.03.25	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	0:0
11.08.24	Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:0
03.12.23	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	2:1
26.08.23	Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:0
01.04.23	Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:0
16.07.22	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	1:1

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