Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ozon Arena (Krasnodar)

Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Krasnodar		Akhmat Grozny

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.32	5.85
	1.57	4.2	5.65
	1.61	4.41	5.95	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.46)	4.26 ↑ (4.2)	5.66 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
60.6%

Draw
22.5%

Akhmat Grozny
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.7%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agkatsev S. (C) 40. Vakhania I. 3. Tormena V. 5. Jubal Junior 15. Olaza L. 53. Chernikov A. 6. Lenini K. 18. Christian 88. Krivtsov N. 11. Joao Batxi 10. Vorobyev D.	1. Ulyanov V. (G) 95. Adamov A. 4. Ibishev T. 90. Ndong O. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 20. Samorodov M. 18. Romao J. 11. Silva I. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 76. Maksuti E.
Substitutes
23. Boselli J. 4. Diego Costa 59. Khmarin A. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 67. Mukailov K. 21. Ozdoev M. 17. Paltsev V. 47. Utkin D.	70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 42. Keliano M. 23. Kenzhebek G. 13. Konate M. 77. Melkadze G. 71. Mitsaev R. (G) 10. Shchetinin K. 88. Shelia G. (G) 6. Sidibe K. 81. Sidorov M.
Coaches
Musaev M.	Cherchesov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Bogosavac M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Vorobyev D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bogosavac M. ↓, Sidorov M. ↑,
58', Maksuti E. ↓, Melkadze G. ↑,
64', Sadulaev L. 🟨,
71', Lenini K. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
76', Vorobyev D. ↓, Utkin D. ↑,
76', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
76', Sadulaev L. ↓, Shchetinin K. ↑,
77', Samorodov M. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
81', Sidorov M. 🟨,
82', Olaza L. ↓, Khmarin A. ↑,
84', Adamov A. ↓, Kasadzhikov A. ↑,
90+3', Melkadze G. 🟨,
90+4', Jubal Junior 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3.

Krasnodar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Akhmat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Krasnodar is considered a favorite.

We predict that Krasnodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Krasnodar: 14.68% Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	16:10	6	21
13	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
09.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.08.26	Krasnodar - Fakel	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.26	Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWT
- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
10.08.26	Fakel - Akhmat Grozny	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Akhmat Grozny - Ajman Club	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
05.08.26	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:1
Russian Premier League
04.04.26	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	0:1
04.10.25	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	2:0
19.04.25	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	3:1
Russian Cup
11.03.25	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:2
02.10.24	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	3:0
15.08.24	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:0

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