Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj)

Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5


	Akhmat Grozny		Zenit

	1	X	2
	5.45	3.9	1.67
	6.59	4.09	1.58	Watch
	7.4	4.4	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↓ (7.4)	4.13 ↓ (4.4)	1.55 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
14.8%

Draw
23.3%

Zenit
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

21.2%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Akhmat Grozny - Zenit Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Zenit (2.13) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Zenit will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zenit will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 1 - 10%). Zenit (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Shelia G. (G) 8. Bogosavac M. 17. Cacintura E. 75. Ghandri N. 42. Keliano M. 77. Melkadze G. 90. Ndong O. 7. Sadulaev L. 20. Samorodov M. 81. Sidorov M. 11. Silva I.	1. Latyshonok E. (G) 5. Barrios W. 6. Drkusic V. 9. Gerson 31. Gustavo Mantuan 11. Luiz Henrique 33. Nino 20. Pedro 3. Santos D. 7. Sobolev A. 8. Wendel
Substitutes
70. Gadzhiev A. 32. Gaibov I. 4. Ibishev T. 13. Konate M. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 14. Talal A. 55. Todorovic D. 1. Ulyanov V. (G) 40. Utsiev R. 22. Zare M.	23. Adamov A. 16. Adamov D. (G) 28. Alip N. 30. Cassierra M. 25. Erakovic S. 21. Erokhin A. 10. Glushenkov M. 32. Gondou L. 4. Gorshkov Y. 41. Kerzhakov M. (G) 17. Mostovoy A. 66. Vega R.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Semak S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Erakovic S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Drkusic V. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedro ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
46', Drkusic V. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
48', Keliano M. 🟨,
57', Samorodov M. ↓, Gadzhiev A. ↑,
60', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
62', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
62', Luiz Henrique ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
70', Sadulaev L. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
81', Gerson ↓, Alip N. ↑,
85', Todorovic D. 🟨,
90+1', Ghandri N. 🟨,
90+6', Shelia G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0.

Akhmat is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zenit is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Zenit is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Zenit: Karavaev V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Akhmat: Ibishev T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zenit: Luiz Henrique (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:42. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.1:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Zenit - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
03.08.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Akhmat Grozny	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.07.25	Akhmat Grozny - Zenit	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.07.25	CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Akhmat Grozny - Rubin Kazan	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
03.08.25	Zenit - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
30.07.25	Akhmat Grozny - Zenit	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.07.25	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	2:2 ✺
20.07.25	Zenit - Rostov	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Zenit - Vojvodina	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
30.07.25	Akhmat Grozny - Zenit	1:2
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	3:0
Russian Cup
27.11.24	Akhmat Grozny - Zenit	1:2
Russian Premier League
10.11.24	Akhmat Grozny - Zenit	1:2
Russian Cup
06.11.24	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	3:0
Russian Premier League
19.05.24	Akhmat Grozny - Zenit	1:5
28.10.23	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	2:1

Upcoming Matches