Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 27

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Centralnyy (Novorossiysk)

Referee: Saraev I. (Rus)


	Chernomorets Novorossiysk		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	3.12	3.1	2.61
	3.12	2.78	2.61
	2.94	3.02	2.54
	2.75	3.05	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.7)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	2.55 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
31.6%

Draw
31.5%

Akron Tolyatti
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

31.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 7. Antonov A. (C) 24. Budagyan Y. 44. Chichinadze A. 35. Enin I. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 64. Lanin O. 81. Melnikov N. 69. Rodionov I. 9. Uridia M. 36. Voropaev A.	1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 27. Chudin I. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 20. Dimoski B. 21. Galoyan A. 9. Glushkov N. 10. Palienko M. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K. (C)
Substitutes
40. Bezchasnyuk A. 62. Budachev I. (G) 17. Fomin D. 5. Garaev V. 27. Gurchenko D. 13. Kirilenko V. 10. Magomedov Z. 97. Nikiforov N. 88. Popovich A. 37. Puchkov S. 22. Rebrov D. (G) 71. Yakovlev D. A.	16. Akmurzin T. (G) 59. Bart R. 14. Bokoev M. 70. Eldarushev A. 22. Galkin V. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 18. Kilin A. 52. Konyukhov V. 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 71. Pestryakov D. 19. Sangare D. (G)
Coaches
Garanin V.	Tedeev Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Budagyan Y. ↓, Fomin D. ↑,
57', Danilkin E. 🟨,
59', Enin I. 🟨,
68', Voropaev A. ↓, Bezchasnyuk A. ↑,
68', Krasilnichenko O. ↓, Garaev V. ↑,
69', Rodionov I. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
73', Ponce A. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
78', Danilin K. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
79', Palienko M. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
82', Glushkov N. ↓, Kilin A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chernomorets won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
07.04.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban Krasnodar	3:0 ✺
31.03.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWWL
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
06.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Akron Tolyatti - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:3 ✺
03.03.24	Akron Tolyatti - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.09.23	Akron Tolyatti - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0
Club Friendly
18.02.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1

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