Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 4


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.21	5.83
	1.59	4.28	5.88	Watch
	1.54	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)	4.05 ↑ (4)	5.57 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
59.8%

Draw
23.3%

Akron Tolyatti
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

23.3%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Users Predictions: Baltika Kaliningrad will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Kukushkin I. (G) 23. Beveev M. 2. Varatynov S. 16. Andrade K. (C) 25. Filin A. 4. Gassama N. 22. Titkov N. 26. Belikov I. 15. Yenne T. 73. Petrov M. 18. Derik Lacerda	88. Gudiev V. (G) 71. Pestryakov D. 26. Escoval R. 24. Nedelcearu I. 21. Fernandez R. 8. Maradishvili K. 80. Khosonov K. 35. Djakovac I. 11. Benchimol 22. Dzyuba A. (C) 91. Boldyrev M.
Substitutes
21. Anderson E. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 69. Manelov I. 8. Mendel A. 5. Mourid A. 90. Offor C. 42. Pospelov V. 68. Ryadno M. 36. Tsitsilin A. (G)	10. Arevalo K. 81. Bazilevskiy N. 5. Djurasovic A. 69. Dmitriev A. 6. Kuzmin M. 15. Loncar S. 90. Morozov A. 89. Popenkov D. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 78. Vasyutin A. (G)
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Tedeev Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Boldyrev M. ↓, Loncar S. ↑,
46', Filin A. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Benchimol ⚽, Djakovac I. (A),
60', Yenne T. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
67', Benchimol 🟨,
68', Titkov N. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
68', Beveev M. ↓, Mendel A. ↑,
68', Belikov I. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
74', Maradishvili K. ↓, Djurasovic A. ↑,
79', Djakovac I. ↓, Kuzmin M. ↑,
81', Anderson E. 🟨,
83', Nedelcearu I. 🟨,
90+3', Khosonov K. ↓, Bazilevskiy N. ↑,
90+5', Gudiev V. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3.

In recent matches, Baltika has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Akron is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Akron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baltika is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Baltika: Civic E. (Inactive) Petrov I. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Baltika: 0.84% Akron Togliatti: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
23.04.26	Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTTW
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
23.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rubin Kazan - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
01.10.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti	3:0
Russian Premier League
31.08.25	Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2
Russian Cup
29.07.25	Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1
Russian FNL
19.03.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti	1:1
27.08.22	Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:3
13.11.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti	2:0
31.07.21	Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0

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