Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 26

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Kristall Stadium (Zhigulyovsk)

Referee: Sokolov O. (Rus)


	Akron Tolyatti		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.15	3.85
	2.08	3.2	3.68	Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.86)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	3.64 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
44.6%

Draw
29.8%

Torpedo Moscow
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akron Tolyatti's form might have worsened.

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 27. Chudin I. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 20. Dimoski B. 21. Galoyan A. 9. Glushkov N. 10. Palienko M. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K. (C)	12. Baburin E. (C) 2. Borodin S. 17. Gorbunov I. 3. Ivankov A. 65. Moskvichev V. 16. Reyna Y. 90. Roganovic B. 11. Shamkin D. 99. Shevchenko G. 9. Stefanovich I. 8. Tugarev R.
Substitutes
16. Akmurzin T. (G) 59. Bart R. 14. Bokoev M. 70. Eldarushev A. 22. Galkin V. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 18. Kilin A. 52. Konyukhov V. 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 71. Pestryakov D. 19. Sangare D. (G)	51. Botnar V. (G) 89. Cherviakov R. 97. Curic M. 21. Gongadze G. 88. Guz A. 87. Kostin A. 25. Kuzmichev I. 10. Lebedenko I. 69. Manelov I. 19. Melekestsev T. 15. Orekhov A. 7. Poloz D.
Coaches
Tedeev Z.	Kononov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Ivankov A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Savichev K. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Glushkov N. ⚽,
42', Roganovic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Andjelkovic N. 🟨,
59', Stefanovich I. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
59', Gorbunov I. ↓, Cherviakov R. ↑,
66', Moskvichev V. ↓, Curic M. ↑,
68', Ponce A. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
68', Glushkov N. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
68', Danilin K. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
78', Shamkin D. ↓, Orekhov A. ↑,
78', Tugarev R. ↓, Melekestsev T. ↑,
81', Palienko M. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akron won 2.

Akron is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torpedo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Akron is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Akron won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
31.03.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Akron Tolyatti - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:3 ✺
03.03.24	Akron Tolyatti - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.02.24	Akron Tolyatti - Zhenis	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWLW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
30.03.24	Torpedo Moscow - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
18.03.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Torpedo Moscow - Tyumen	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.24	Krasnodar - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.09.23	Torpedo Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:0
Russian Cup
26.02.23	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	2:0
Russian FNL
06.04.22	Torpedo Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0
25.09.21	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
21.11.20	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
12.08.20	Torpedo Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:1

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