Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Akron Tolyatti		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.45	4.2	5.1
	1.56	3.75	4.7
	1.6	4.23	5.28
	1.55	3.8	5.25
	1.59	4.05	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	4.04 ↓ (4.51)	5.22 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
59.6%

Draw
22.8%

Metallurg Lipetsk
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

20.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

13.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akron Tolyatti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Lipetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Akron Tolyatti - Metallurg Lipetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Akron is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Metallurg Lipetsk is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metallurg Lipetsk have a series of home games.

In this match Akron is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Akron won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
31.10.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
23.10.21	Akron Tolyatti - Olimp Dolgoprudny	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Akron Tolyatti	2:2 ✺
13.10.21	Akron Tolyatti - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWTWW
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL
31.10.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
26.10.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - CSKA Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
23.10.21	Fakel - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:2 ✺
17.10.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:4 ✺
13.10.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Veles Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
25.07.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:2

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