Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.7
	4.1	3.35	1.7
	5	3.3	1.63
	5.44	3.52	1.72
	5	3.2	1.7
	5.45	3.58	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (3.43)	3.39 ↑ (3.06)	1.69 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
18.5%

Draw
27.1%

Baltika Kaliningrad
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30.3%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

20.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Lipetsk's form might have worsened.

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Lipetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Metallurg Lipetsk - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Baltika is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL
13.10.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Veles Moscow	1:0 ✺
09.10.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 ✺
25.09.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWTLT
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
13.10.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Volgar Astrakhan	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Olimp Dolgoprudny	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:2 ✺
25.09.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLT

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