Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 21

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Luzhniki Stadium (Moscow)

Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Torpedo Moscow		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.24	7.82
	1.46	4.1	7.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)	4.17 ↑ (4.15)	7.56 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
64.9%

Draw
22.6%

Tyumen
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

22.6%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21.2%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Torpedo Moscow - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Botnar V. (G) 38. Chupayov A. 15. Danilkin E. 17. Gorbunov I. 3. Ivankov A. 2. Koledin Y. 87. Kostin A. 69. Manelov I. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 90. Roganovic B. 99. Shevchenko G.	97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 30. Shavlokhov D. 36. Voropaev A.
Substitutes
12. Baburin E. (G) 19. Baytukov R. 20. Camara M. H. 89. Chervyakov R. 22. Galkin V. 7. Koryan A. 25. Kuzmichev I. 9. Maksimov M. 27. Orekhov A. 77. Shitov V. 18. Sokolov A. 74. Volkov M. (G)	2. Kalugin N. 20. Kenfak O. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 90. Mokaev I. 27. Petukhov I. 10. Savinov A. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D.
Coaches
Kononov O.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Gorbunov I. ⚽,
43', Klenkin D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kulishev A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
46', Maryanov A. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
46', Karpov D. ↓, Kosarev K. ↑,
46', Voropaev A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
58', Petrov M. 🟨,
72', Chupayov A. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
72', Gorbunov I. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
73', Manelov I. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
74', Kenfak O. ↓, Kuptsov D. ↑,
84', Koledin Y. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
88', Roganovic B. ↓, Baytukov R. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Torpedo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tyumen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torpedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Torpedo is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Torpedo to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
24.11.24	Sokol Saratov - Torpedo Moscow	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Torpedo Moscow	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Torpedo Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Torpedo Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWT
- FC Tyumen
Russian Cup
26.11.24	Tyumen - Krasnodar	3:4 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
23.11.24	Arsenal Tula - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Tyumen - Sochi	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:4 ✺
03.11.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
21.10.24	Tyumen - Torpedo Moscow	0:3
11.03.24	Torpedo Moscow - Tyumen	0:0
09.10.23	Tyumen - Torpedo Moscow	0:0

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