Match Info

2. Lig Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Aksaray Belediyespor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.8
	1.97	3.05	4.1
	2.13	3.15	3.65
	1.91	3.23	3.93	Watch
	2.09	3.39	3.26
	1.97	3.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.64)	3.2 ↓ (4)	3.81 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksaray Belediyespor
46.8%

Draw
28.9%

Karacabey Belediyespor
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

23.4%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksaray Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aksaray Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aksaray Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Aksaray Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aksaray Belediyespor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Yilmaz I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Aksaray Belediyespor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karacabey Bld is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Aksaray Belediyespor is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aksaray Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aksaray Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
20.04.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTTW
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Menemenspor	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Elazığspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1
22.12.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1

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