Match Info

2. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Aksaray Belediyespor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.95
	2.05	3.3	3.45
	2.22	3.5	2.99
	2.17	3.43	2.99	Watch
	2.16	3.28	3.03
	2.05	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)	3.35 ↓ (3.46)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksaray Belediyespor
43.3%

Draw
27.4%

Vanspor
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksaray Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Aksaray Belediyespor - Vanspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 1)
101', 0 - 1, Secgin E. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, Aksaray Belediyespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vanspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aksaray Belediyespor could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aksaray Belediyespor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aksaray Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
12.05.25	Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
08.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
20.04.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWT
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League White Group
12.05.25	Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
08.05.25	Menemenspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Vanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
27.04.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Vanspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
12.05.25	Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.02.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:1
05.10.24	Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:1

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