Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Pavlodar)

Referee: Izmailov D. (Kaz)


	Aksu		Astana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7	4.33	1.35
	6.75	4.41	1.36
	8	4.2	1.35
	7.9	4.65	1.36
	7.2	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.37 ↑ (5.05)	4.42 ↑ (4)	1.36 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksu
12.4%

Draw
20.6%

Astana
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.5%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.9%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aksu's form might have worsened.

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksu than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aksu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Aksu - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Aksu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Astana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aksu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Astana is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aksu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Aksu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aksu
Kazakh Premier League
20.05.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Aksu	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Aksu - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Aktobe - Aksu	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
30.04.23	Aksu - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
23.04.23	Atyrau - Aksu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
20.05.23	Astana - Kyzylzhar	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
17.05.23	Astana - Turan Turkistan	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
14.05.23	Okzhetpes - Astana	0:0 ✺
10.05.23	Makhtaaral - Astana	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Astana - Makhtaaral	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
19.06.22	Astana - Aksu	5:0
10.03.22	Aksu - Astana	1:0

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