Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Gorda D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Astana		Kyzylzhar

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.1
	1.51	4.08	5.57	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.59	3.78	5.94	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	3.69 ↓ (3.74)	5.27 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
57.9%

Draw
24.7%

Kyzylzhar
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Astana - Kyzylzhar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 3. Kalaica B. 4. Anuarov S. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 15. Beysebekov A. (C) 7. Karaman D. 8. Basic I. 10. Tomasov M. 81. Karimov R. 47. Abrayev M.	1. Celeadnic D. (G) 71. Sokolenko A. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 5. Slambekov D. 11. Cheredinov A. 19. Krajisnik D. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 47. Gomis H. 88. Pertsukh Y. 99. Beugre E. 9. Adil A.
Substitutes
22. Abdurasulov A. 20. Ahanonu N. 72. Basmanov S. 9. Islamkhan B. 74. Seysen M. (G) 77. Shomko D. 91. Token A. 61. Tulakbayev I. (G) 19. Zhaksylyk N.	13. Bahoken S. 10. Bjartalid J. 28. Chirkov R. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 25. Galabov P. 27. Gubarev N. 21. Kurbanov T. 7. Muldinov T. 32. Petrov V. (G)
Coaches
Babayan G.	Curcic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Cheredinov A. 🟨,
43', Adil A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cheredinov A. ↓, Galabov P. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Pertsukh Y. ⚽, Adil A. (A),
54', 1 - 1, Vorogovskiy Y. ⚽,
56', Galabov P. ↓, Chirkov R. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Bartolec K. ⚽, Vorogovskiy Y. (A),
65', Pertsukh Y. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
65', Adil A. ↓, Muldinov T. ↑,
77', Bartolec K. 🟨,
80', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylyk N. ↑,
80', Makarenko E. ↓, Bahoken S. ↑,
85', Beugre E. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', Beugre E. 🟥,
89', Abrayev M. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Astana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Astana won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:14. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.6:0.9).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

FC Astana: 0.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Astana	25	14	6	5	42:25	17	48
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
03.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Astana - Tobol Kostanay	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Astana - Atyrau	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Yelimay Semey - Astana	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Astana - Ordabasy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWTT
- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
02.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhenis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
29.06.25	Astana - Kyzylzhar	3:3
09.03.25	Kyzylzhar - Astana	0:2
14.09.24	Astana - Kyzylzhar	2:1
22.06.24	Kyzylzhar - Astana	0:1
29.07.23	Kyzylzhar - Astana	1:0
20.05.23	Astana - Kyzylzhar	3:2
30.10.22	Kyzylzhar - Astana	0:2

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