Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Okzhetpes		Astana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.02	Watch
	3.52	3.5	1.92
	3.2	3.47	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.24	3.53	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.84)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
27.5%

Draw
26.9%

Astana
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.3%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Okzhetpes - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 9. Borodin D. 17. Nurymbet A. 47. Vasiljev V. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 19. Omirtaev O. 91. Abdumannonov B.	93. Condric J. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 3. Kalaica B. 6. Kasym A. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 7. Karaman D. 4. Anuarov S. 8. Basic I. 10. Tomasov M. 47. Abrayev M. 81. Karimov R.
Substitutes
67. Atykhanov R. 8. Buribaev N. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 55. Mikhailov N. 14. Mukanov S. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 16. Shamshi B. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 4. Zyabko V.	22. Abdurasulov A. 20. Ahanonu N. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 9. Islamkhan B. 74. Seysen M. (G) 77. Shomko D. 91. Token A. 19. Zhaksylyk N.
Coaches
Alyuetov R.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Kasym A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Lototskyi B. ⚽, Sovpel V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
60', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Buribaev N. ↑,
63', Leo Assunpcao 🟨,
67', Anuarov S. ↓, Islamkhan B. ↑,
67', Abrayev M. ↓, Ahanonu N. ↑,
74', Abdumannonov B. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
74', Omirtaev O. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
80', Basic I. 🟥,
86', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylyk N. ↑,
86', Karimov R. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
90+6', Buribaev N. ↓, Ensebaev M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Astana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 10:44. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.5:1.7).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

FC Astana: 0.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Astana	25	14	6	5	42:25	17	48
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Astana - Kyzylzhar	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Astana - Tobol Kostanay	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Astana - Atyrau	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Yelimay Semey - Astana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
28.09.25	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:2
15.06.25	Astana - Okzhetpes	5:2
Kazakh Cup
13.04.25	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:2 penalties
Kazakh Premier League
27.09.23	Astana - Okzhetpes	5:2
14.05.23	Okzhetpes - Astana	0:0
26.10.20	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:5
22.08.20	Astana - Okzhetpes	2:0

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