The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Akzhayik 28.4%
Draw 28.3%
Tobol Kostanay 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
32.6%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
33.8%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akzhayik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akzhayik's form might have worsened.
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tobol Kostanay's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akzhayik than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akzhayik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
27.3%
54.5%
Akzhayik - Tobol Kostanay Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Akzhayik will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tobol will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tobol: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 0.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 8-33.
Including matches at home between the teams Akzhayik won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-15.