Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Shabab Al-Ghazieh		Al-Abbassieh

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.05	1.41
	6.51	4.05	1.41
				Watch
	8	4.35	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7 ↑ (5.29)	4.15 ↑ (3.62)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ghazieh
12.9%

Draw
21.8%

Al-Abbassieh
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

24.6%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

23.7%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ghazieh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Al-Abbassieh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Abbassieh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ghazieh than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Abbassieh than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Shabab Al Ghazieh - Al Abbassieh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ghazieh (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Recent form of Al-Ghazieh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Abbassieh's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Abbassieh is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ghazieh
Lebanese Premier League
30.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:3 ✺
26.06.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0 ✺
19.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Baalbeck	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Racing Beirut - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	0:4 ✺
07.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLLWT
- Al-Abbassieh FC
Lebanese Premier League
01.07.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Abbassieh	1:4 ✺
25.06.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Abbassieh	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Al-Abbassieh - Bourj	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Baalbeck	0:3 ✺
07.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
07.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Abbassieh	0:0
06.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	3:0
18.02.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	0:0

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