Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 22 January 2024, Monday


	Al-Adalh		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.64	3.3	2
	3.3	3.2	1.91
	3.52	3.28	1.97	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.81)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	1.95 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Adalh
25.9%

Draw
27.7%

Al-Qadisiya
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.6%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

27.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Adalh's form might have worsened.

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Qadisiya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Adalh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Al Adalh - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Adalh will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Recent matches Al-Adalh is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Qadisiya is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Adalh won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Adalh won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Adalh FC
Saudi Division 1
08.01.24	Al-Adalh - Al-Kholood	0:1 ✺
02.01.24	Ohud Medina - Al-Adalh	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Al-Adalh - Al-Ain	1:1 ✺
20.12.23	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Adalh	2:2 ✺
13.12.23	Al-Adalh - Hajer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTTT
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Division 1
10.01.24	Al-Safa - Al-Qadisiya	4:6 ✺
03.01.24	Al-Qadisiya - Hajer	3:0 ✺
25.12.23	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	0:3 ✺
18.12.23	Al-Qadisiya - Ohud Medina	1:1 ✺
11.12.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Qadisiya	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
15.08.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Adalh	2:1
04.04.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Adalh	0:2
24.11.21	Al-Adalh - Al-Qadisiya	1:1

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