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Current Win Probability
Al-Feiha 11.3%
Draw 18.8%
Al-Ahli Jeddah 70%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
14.6%
20.9%
64.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.8%
19.8%
66.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Feiha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Feiha than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Al Feiha - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Mosquera O. (G) 22. Al Baqawi M. (C) 2. Al Rashidi M. 21. Al Sahafi Z. 25. Colley O. 24. Bamsaud A. 30. Alfa Semedo 5. Hugo Moura 6. Al Hussain A. 23. Jason Remeseiro 40. Yago Souza
1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 15. Baattia S. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez (C) 31. Balobaid S. 6. Atangana V. 30. Al Johani Z. 7. Trincao 8. Spertsyan E. 20. Matheus Goncalves 9. Al Buraikan F.
Substitutes
9. Al Abdulmanam M. 14. Al Beshe M. 47. Al Dowaish M. 1. Al Duqayl A. (G) 67. Al Habeeb D. 7. Al Harthi N. 43. Alhubayshi F. 27. Al Jarbi S. 77. Enad R.
62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 72. Al Jadany S. (G) 11. Al Mutairi M. 19. Bondarenko A. 4. Diaby I. 46. Hamidou R. 21. Radif A. 5. Sulaiman M.
Coaches
Fabio Carille
Pusic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Al Johani Z. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
19', Alfa Semedo 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Hugo Moura ⚽, Bamsaud A. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Bondarenko A. ⚽, Balobaid S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, Al Buraikan F. (Penalty Awarded),
65', 2 - 2, Jason Remeseiro ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Bondarenko A. ⚽, Atangana V. (A),
80', Baattia S. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
80', Hugo Moura ↓, Al Beshe M. ↑,
80', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Al Mutairi M. ↑,
88', Al Baqawi M. ↓, Enad R. ↑,
89', Al Rashidi M. ↓, Alhubayshi F. ↑,
89', Yago Souza ↓, Al Harthi N. ↑,
90+4', Atangana V. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
90+4', Spertsyan E. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 6th in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Feiha won 0.
Al Feiha is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Al-Ahli is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Al-Ahli holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Al Feiha has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:26 (averaging 0.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al Feiha against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 4:13 goals (averaging 0.5:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Al Ahli SC
11
7
0
4
28:19
9
21
15
Al Fayha
11
1
5
5
12:19
-7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Feiha - the odds 6.25 are the expected chance of winning is 14.56%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 64.53%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Mosquera O. (G) 
Al Baqawi M. (C) 
Colley O. 
Alfa Semedo 
Hugo Moura 
Jason Remeseiro 
Demiral M. 
Atangana V. 
Trincao 
Spertsyan E. 
Bondarenko A. 
Pusic M. 
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