Match Info

WORLD: FIFA Intercontinental Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Al Salam Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, SporTV
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Egypt	MBC Masr 2, On Time Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
World	FIFA+


	Al Ahly Cairo		Al Ain

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.3	3.4	2.7
	2.42	3.58	2.88
	2.33	3.41	2.74	Watch
	2.41	3.52	2.83	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.93)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.76 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ahly Cairo
39.7%

Draw
26.9%

Al Ain
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

25.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Ahly Cairo's form might have worsened.

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Ain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Ain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Ahly Cairo - Al Ain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. El Shenawy M. (G) 8. Tawfik A. 6. Yasser Ibrahim 5. Rabia R. 18. Attiyat Allah Y. 13. Ateya M. 36. Ahmed Kouka 29. Mohamed T. 22. Ashour E. 14. El Shahat H. 9. Abou Ali W.	17. Eisa K. (G) 15. Erik 3. Kouadio K. 4. Cardoso F. 11. Mohammed B. 6. Nader Y. 5. Park Yong-Woo 8. Abbas M. 20. Palacios M. 10. Kaku 21. Rahimi S.
Substitutes
23. Abdallah I. 19. Afsha 15. Dari A. 33. El Debes K. 17. El Solia A. 16. Hamza Alaa (G) 7. Kahraba 3. Kamal O. 20. Karim Nedved 31. Oufa Shobeir (G) 12. Slim R. 10. Tau P.	72. Awad M. 13. Barman A. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 27. Gassama S. 16. Hashemi K. 29. Infantino G. 9. Laba K. 24. Salomoni F. 19. Sanabria M. 7. Segovia M. 70. Traore A.
Coaches
Koller M.	Crespo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Abou Ali W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Abbas M. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Ashour E. ⚽, Mohamed T. (A),
56', Erik 🟨,
59', Abbas M. ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
64', Nader Y. ↓, Laba K. ↑,
80', El Shahat H. ↓, Kamal O. ↑,
81', Ahmed Kouka ↓, El Solia A. ↑,
85', Mohammed B. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
85', Erik ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
89', Ashour E. ↓, Afsha ↑,
89', Yasser Ibrahim ↓, Dari A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Afsha (Pen),
90+4', Cardoso F. 🟨,
90+9', Ateya M. ↓, El Saaiy O. ↑,

Preview

Al Ahly Cairo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al Ain is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Ain could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Al Ahly Cairo have a series of home games.

Al Ahly Cairo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Super Cup
24.10.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	1:0 penalties ✺
20.10.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:1 ✺
CAF Super Cup
27.09.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	1:2 penalties ✺
CAF Champions League
21.09.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Gor Mahia	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Gor Mahia - Al Ahly Cairo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW
- Al Ain FC
UAE Football League
25.10.24	Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.24	Al Ain - Al-Hilal	4:5 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
17.10.24	Hatta - Al Ain	0:4 ✺
UAE Football League
06.10.24	Al Ain - Al-Wahda	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Al Ain	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLWLL

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