Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 2

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tripoli International Stadium (Tripoli)


	Al-Ahly Tripoli		Al Ittihad Misurata

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.6)	4.2 ↑ (3.75)	7.4 ↑ (4.8)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahly Tripoli
66%

Draw
21.7%

Al Ittihad Misurata
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahly Tripoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahly Tripoli's performance.

Al Ittihad Misurata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ittihad Misurata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahly Tripoli than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahly Tripoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ittihad Misurata than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ittihad Misurata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al Ittihad Misurata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ahly Tripoli is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahly Tripoli
Libyan Premier League
07.05.26	Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Al-Ahly Tripoli	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Asswehly	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Al Khums - Al-Ahly Tripoli	3:1 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Abu Salem	7:1 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al Dahra Tripoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLWW
- Al Ittihad Misurata
Libyan Premier League
06.05.26	Asswehly - Al Ittihad Misurata	1:0 ✺
20.04.26	Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Al Ittihad Misurata	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	Al Ittihad Misurata - Olympic Azzaweya	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Al-Shomooa - Al Ittihad Misurata	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Al Ittihad Misurata - Abi Al Ashar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTLW

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