Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli		Hekmeh

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.95	2.25
	2.85	2.95	2.29
	2.99	3.14	2.36
	2.99	3.04	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.72)	3.03 ↑ (2.95)	2.31 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli
31%

Draw
29.9%

Hekmeh
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

30.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.2%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hekmeh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hekmeh than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hekmeh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Al-Akhaa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hekmeh is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Al-Akhaa have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Akhaa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli Aley
Lebanese Premier League
15.01.23	Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Salam Zgharta	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Hekmeh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
25.11.22	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWT
- Hekmeh FC
Lebanese Premier League
15.01.23	Hekmeh - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh	2:0 ✺
09.12.22	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	2:3 ✺
03.12.22	Hekmeh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Al-Ansar Beirut - Hekmeh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
03.12.22	Hekmeh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:1
20.03.22	Hekmeh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:1
22.01.22	Hekmeh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:0

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