Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 12

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al Akhdoud		Damac

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.68	3	2.68
	2.77	3.07	2.66	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.64	2.88	2.6	Watch
	2.71	3	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.24)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	2.62 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
34%

Draw
31%

Damac
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Akhdoud's form might have worsened.

Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Damac's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	58.8%	23.5%

Al Akhdoud - Damac Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Damac will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Damac (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Al Akhdoud (3.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Akhdoud (votes: 1 - 25%). Damac (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Samuel Portugal (G) 87. Hawsawi G. 17. Gul G. 3. Al Salem A. 88. Ashi I. 18. Pedroza J. 6. Petros (C) 55. Borrell M. 21. Abu Abd M. 11. Ince B. 9. Kramer B.	1. Kewin (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 15. Harkass J. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 13. Al Obaid A. 7. Al Qahtani A. 8. Vada V. 26. Sharahili R. 2. Sylla M. 20. Al Anazi D. 90. Al Ghamdi H.
Substitutes
14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. 12. Al Hatila A. 10. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 8. Al Zabdani H. 96. Majrashi A. 19. Salem S.	6. Abdullah T. 33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 23. Al Hassan J. 88. Al Samiri K. 28. Medina J. 80. Naji Y. 5. Rabea H.
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Evangelista A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Vada V. ⚽, Al Anazi D. (A),
19', Bedrane A. 🟨,
20', Borrell M. 🟨,
26', Borrell M. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Kramer B. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
59', Ashi I. ↓, Al Harthi S. ↑,
65', Al Ghamdi H. ↓, Naji Y. ↑,
66', Al Qahtani A. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
80', Al Obaid A. ↓, Rabea H. ↑,
82', Al Harthi S. 🟨,
86', Ince B. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
86', Al Salem A. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
90+4', Al Abbas S. 🟥,
90+5', Vada V. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
27.12.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Feiha - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Najma	2:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLWL
- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
27.12.25	Al-Qadisiya - Damac	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Damac - Al-Najma	0:0 ✺
06.11.25	Al-Riyadh - Damac	1:1 ✺
30.10.25	Damac - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
13.02.25	Al Akhdoud - Damac	0:0
13.09.24	Damac - Al Akhdoud	3:1
20.04.24	Al Akhdoud - Damac	1:2
26.10.23	Damac - Al Akhdoud	2:0

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